• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1213

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Jun 9 06:46:21 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 090646
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 090645=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-090815-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1213
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0145 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024

    Areas affected...south-central and southeast Kansas.

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 400...

    Valid 090645Z - 090815Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 400
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe wind threat will continue through the early
    morning hours.

    DISCUSSION...A long-lived line of severe wind producing
    thunderstorms continues east across south-central Kansas. Recent
    gusts of 50 knots in Pratt, KS and 51 knots near Medicine Lodge, KS
    have been observed and radar trends suggest the severe wind threat
    may have increased recently with 50 to 60 knots of base velocity
    sampled by KICT. This is likely related to the strengthening
    low-level jet (now near 50 knots on the VNX VWP) and the changing
    orientation of the squall line. This changing orientation (now
    aligned more normal to the 0-3 km wind shear vector) and the
    presence of multiple outflow boundaries from the line of storms
    across east-central Kansas, may increase the tornado threat for a
    few hours as ingestion of low-level streamwise vorticity is favored.


    A recent 50 knot wind gust was observed on the Woods County, OK
    mesonet as the outflow boundary passed, outside of the convection.
    This indicates the strength of the cold pool which as developed.
    Given this mature cold pool and a reservoir of mid 70s dewpoints
    which remain across south-central and southeast Kansas, this line of
    storms may persist with a severe wind threat through the morning as
    it moves east.=20

    The NWS in Wichita will locally extend watch 400 for areas east of
    Wichita to cover this threat.

    ..Bentley.. 06/09/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6Pxz_PKuZ_OljEUEg0oPmYviioqRisXv3ohe1hNnZ-niYks0Hm7283_bUKoCg9jPX15KnjaG2= e-SD6LNHwCtlwJ5Eio$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...DDC...

    LAT...LON 37139839 37339867 37829874 38129873 38349769 38289559
    38009486 37499460 37099481 37029639 37139839=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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